Updated at 3:15 a.m. ET Friday
United States forces assassinated Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani in an air strike early Friday at Baghdad International Airport, an escalation of tensions between Washington and Tehran that is prompting concerns of further violence in the region.
Defense Secretary Mark Esper said the Pentagon took a “decisive defensive action” in killing Soleimani, who Esper says was planning to attack American diplomats and service members.
“This strike was aimed at deterring future Iranian attack plans,” Esper said.
The Pentagon said the attack was undertaken at the direction of President Trump.
For two decades, Soleimani led the elite Quds Force, a branch of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, responsible for the country’s intelligence and military operations outside of Iran.
The strike on Soleimani comes a week after a rocket attack in northern Iraq killed a U.S. contractor. American officials said an Iranian-backed militia was responsible. The Trump administration also tied Soleimani to violent protests at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad earlier in the week.
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif called the killing “an act of international terrorism,” saying the U.S. “bears responsibility for all consequences of its rogue adventurism.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said in a statement on Iranian state TV that a “harsh retaliation is waiting” for the U.S.
“So the biggest question now is how does Tehran respond?” wrote Ilan Goldenberg, a Middle East security expert who worked on Iran issues in the Obama administration.
“Targeting an American diplomatic facility or senior leader with a terrorist attack elsewhere in the world may feel proportional for the Iranians but this is very hard to pull off. Outside of the Mideast their capabilities are much more limited,” Goldenberg wrote on Twitter.
Republicans celebrated the killing of Soleimani, saying America is safer after the violent leader was brought to justice. But Democrats slammed the White House for not consulting Congress before the strike and worried the attack would lead to an “almost inevitable escalation.”
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the strike was “disproportionate,” arguing that it “risks provoking further dangerous escalation of violence. America — and the world — cannot afford to have tensions escalate to the point of no return,” she said in a statement.
Naysan Rafati, a senior Iran analyst at the International Crisis Group, underscored just how significant the death of Soleimani is inside Iran, where he is among the country’s most revered military leaders.
“This is a major blow to the Iranians, symbolically as well as strategically: there has been no individual as deeply associated with Iran’s regional network of partners and proxies as Soleimani, which made him a hero to Tehran’s allies and a villain without peer to its rivals,” Rafati said.
Soleimani is one of Iran’s most powerful and shadowy figures. As leader of the Quds Force, he is said to be responsible for the country’s development and coordination with militias and proxy forces throughout the Middle East. U.S. officials accuse him of coordinating Iraqi militia attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq.
U.S. officials have accused Soleimani of sponsoring terrorism and singled him out as a major figure for decades. The Trump administration placed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps — which includes the Quds Force — on the State Department’s list of terrorist groups. It was the first time a government’s official military was placed on the list.
President Trump had vowed that Iran would “pay a very big price” for the unrest at the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad. After the strikes, he tweeted the image of an American flag with no comment.
The chairman of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Rep. Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.), released a statement saying he is worried about the security aftereffects of the strike, which Engel said had gone ahead without notice or consultation with Congress.
“To push ahead with an action of this gravity without involving Congress raises serious legal problems and is an affront to Congress’s powers as a coequal branch of government,” Engel said.
A reach far beyond Iran
Norman Roule, now retired, tracked Iran through his career with the CIA and the Director of National Intelligence. He told NPR’s All Things Considered the death of Soleimani was significant.
“You can expect seismic waves to go through the Shia communities of Lebanon, Iraq and Iran,” Roule said. “You can expect that the Iranians and the Iraqi militia groups will certainly seek some sort of retribution.”
Force protection of U.S. and allied interests will be foremost in the minds of U.S. and partner security forces. I expect State will issue a travel advisory and those in the region should adopt appropriate precautions. https://t.co/olVHIc49Wb
— Norman Roule (@Norman_Roule) January 3, 2020
He also pointed to the death in the same attack of Iraqi militia commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis whom he called Soleimani’s “senior-most lieutenant in the Iraqi military architecture.”
Roule said he believed the U.S. would not have carried out the strikes unless “a significant terrorist attack was underway or about to be undertaken by these individuals and if neutralizing these individuals would prevent that.”
Qassem Soleimani, the Iranian military leader killed by U.S. airstrikes at the Baghdad airport Friday, wielded power in his country that went beyond the elite Quds Forces he commanded. He had been given authority over Iranian operations in the region.
The AP reports that “Soleimani rose to prominence by advising forces fighting the Islamic State group in Iraq and in Syria on behalf of the embattled [Syrian President Bashar] Assad.”
Soleimani’s Quds Forces are “sort of a mixture of our special operations and Central Intelligence Agency,” according to Norman Roule, a former Iran expert for the CIA and Director of National Intelligence. “He [had] been given charge of Iran’s foreign policy in the region and in essence he used that authority to create a series of militias based on the Lebanese Hezbollah.”
“As a military commander he would not actually rank in capacity or stature with a first-world military commander, such as a U.S. general. However, his political reach was vast … in that Iran basically ceded its regional activities to his purview,” Roule said.
In 2018, Soleimani spoke with political authority when he responded to a tweet by President Trump, that Iran would “suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before” if it repeated threats against the U.S.
Soleimani was quoted by the semi-official Tasnim news agency: “As a soldier, it is my duty to respond to your threats,” he said. “It is not in our president’s dignity to respond to you.”
“Come. We are ready,” Soleimani said, accusing Trump of using “the language of night clubs and gambling halls.”
“If you begin the war, we will end the war,” he said.
This is a developing story. Some facts reported by the media may later turn out to be wrong. We will focus on reports from officials, credible news outlets and reporters who are at the scene. We will update as the situation develops.
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